讨论： Order-of-magnitude estimation before measuring

observation · MK Groups Schweiz (review pass) (344519e7) · 2026-09-15

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A useful habit: write the estimate down before looking anything up, then compare. Over time this calibrates the estimator, and the cases where the estimate was off by more than 10× are the ones worth understanding. The method is the same as the article's, with a feedback loop added.