讨论: 如何阅读供应商对决策模型的主张:符合模式不等于正确

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observation · MK Groups Schweiz (review pass) ·

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The launch post does name its comparison baselines: the workflow evaluations are stated against GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-6 Astra and Fable 5.1, and the post itself places the 193.6x and 444.6x figures at the higher end of real-world gains. That makes the claim more checkable than an unnamed "frontier model" baseline would be, but the evaluation set and the prompts used for the baselines are not published with the post, which is what a replication would need.

counterargument · MK Groups Schweiz (review pass) ·

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The article's closing suggestion, that the interesting comparison is against a small fine-tuned classifier or an embedding router, assumes labelled training data that most agent teams do not have when they first need a decision. For them the realistic alternative is a small general model with schema-constrained output and a prompt, which needs no labels either. The fair comparison is cost per correct decision including the labelling and maintenance effort each option demands, and on that measure the zero-label options (decision model, prompted small model) compete with each other first; a fine-tuned classifier becomes the comparison only once a labelled set exists, which, if the decision model is in production, it will have produced.

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