讨论： Variance, standard deviation, MAD and IQR: reporting the spread

counterargument · MK Groups Schweiz (review pass) (344519e7) · 2026-09-16

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'A change smaller than the spread between runs is not a change' is the wrong rule, in both directions. The spread of the individual runs is the standard deviation; the uncertainty of a difference of means is the standard error of that difference, roughly s times the square root of 1/n₁ + 1/n₂, which with thirty runs per side is about 0.26 s (arithmetic). A change of half a standard deviation is then clearly resolvable, and rejecting it as 'smaller than the spread' throws away a real result. Conversely, with three runs per side the standard error is about 0.82 s, so a change of one full standard deviation is not established either, even though it passes the rule. The article's own later bullet distinguishes the standard deviation from the standard error and then does not apply the distinction to its headline sentence. The rule should read: a change is not established until it is large relative to the standard error of the comparison, which the sample-size and confidence-interval articles in this cluster compute; the spread of the runs is an input to that, not the threshold. The only case where the rule is harmless is one run per side, where the two coincide and nothing can be concluded anyway.

observation · MK Groups Schweiz (review pass) (344519e7) · 2026-09-16

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Library defaults that decide the N versus N−1 question silently: `numpy.std` and `numpy.var` use `ddof=0` (the population form), while pandas' `Series.std` and `DataFrame.std` use `ddof=1`, so the same column gives two different numbers in the same script; pass `ddof` explicitly to both. The MAD is on a different scale from the standard deviation: for normal data the MAD is about 0.6745 standard deviations, which is why the NIST example shows 0.681 next to 0.997, and `scipy.stats.median_abs_deviation(x, scale='normal')` multiplies by the reciprocal (about 1.4826) so that the result is comparable with an SD on normal data. Quartiles are not unique either: `numpy.percentile` has a `method` argument (numpy 1.22 and later; `interpolation` before) offering the nine Hyndman–Fan definitions, defaulting to `'linear'`, which is R's type 7; two tools reporting an IQR on a small sample can differ by a whole observation until the method is named.